Please keep up the good fight. We need you in NATO.
I wonder if there’s going to be some sort of culture crisis across The West when reality hits, or if Western media is strong enough to distract everyone with something new like they did with Afghanistan.
Remember when Hong Kong was “winning”?
Opened my eyes to the accuracy of the Western media
Yeah same. I was there, and seeing what was happening and what was being reported was a huge WTF experience
I think they’re already trying to shift it somewhat, the anti-Chinese stuff has picked up a bit recently.
Who wants to bet a hundred bucks?
Sure, what odds?
I say Russia wins, I can pay with crypto when things end.
Be more of a caricature
I made a more detailed comment in the “Early Stages of Ukranian” post, approaching the conflict from a tactical position the russian doctrine has shown itself to be superior with a more developed command & control combined with emphasis on smaller unit concentration leadership. The ability to contese a wide swath of ukraine with highly mobile troops supported by a proven equipment advantage (kinzhal, UAV, EW, Artillery)
Then examine the strategic level, particularly the production of referenced artillery which is the lynchpin of this conflict with the russian defensive lines and ukranian anti-artillery efforts
“We know that Ukraine uses a purported 5,000-6,000 shells per day, and that Russia has been estimated to fire as many as 60,000—though that’s a high ‘peak’ amount—the daily average over the course of the war being closer to ~20,000-30,000.”
https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/on-shells-and-armor-the-war-of-sustainment
“The U.S., self-avowed manufacturing ‘powerhouse’ of the world, produces 14,000 shells a month and have recently announced a “3X production surge” to 40,000 to help Ukraine—which was soon after desperately amended to 90,000 to staunch AFU’s rapidly accumulating losses. Even for the U.S., it’s an effort large enough to take approximately 2-3 years to ramp up to.”
"Accepting that Russia mostly depleted usable 152mm stocks by the early 2000’s (not counting aging stocks requiring refurbishment), it’s credible that Russia spent the next two decades producing at a moderate rate equivalent to the U.S.’s 90k a month, which would grant them about 1 million shells per year. And twenty years of such stockpiling, from the early 2000’s, would give approximately 20 million—in line with Estonian estimates.
Russia used an estimated 7-10m so far in the first year of the SMO (20-30k per day multiplied by roughly a year). If the Estonian estimates are accurate that means Russia could have ~7-10m left, which is about another year’s worth of shells.
In WW2, the USSR was said to have produced 100 million shells per year, just to give an idea of what’s possible. Also, as a rule, Russia has several times more arms factories compared to the U.S. per category. For instance, the famed Lima plant in Ohio produces all American Abrams. Russia’s top tank producer Uralvagonzavod alone has roughly 12 factories, though they’re not all committed to tank production. Some produce civilian equipment like train cars, others full-time tank modernization/refurbishments, like upgrading the older T-72’s to T-72B3 standard.
So if U.S. can do 90k shells a month (1m/year) on only one production line by merely increasing shifts, Russia likely has several such production lines, in the famed Tula Arms plant and elsewhere, and should be able to comfortably triple that, at the minimum. And tripling 1m shells gets us to exactly what Estonian intel reportedly estimated Russia manufactures per year; or this source which claimed Russia was assembling 2 million shells per annum comfortably:"
Written by Denys Shmyhal
That’s Ukraine’s current prime minister writing this opinion piece: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Denys_Shmyhal
GDR was a fucking authoritarian travesty fyi
I guess this is why East Germans miss the GDR…
Today, 20 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, 57 percent, or an absolute majority, of eastern Germans defend the former East Germany. “The GDR had more good sides than bad sides. There were some problems, but life was good there,” say 49 percent of those polled. Eight percent of eastern Germans flatly oppose all criticism of their former home and agree with the statement: “The GDR had, for the most part, good sides. Life there was happier and better than in reunified Germany today.”
People miss the GDR because it’s antiestablishment and because a lot of people want what they don’t have. If the GDR was to exist again (and definitely after they made one or another fuck-up) people would want a united Germany again. This is the same reason why opposition parties usually fair better during the next election.
If the GDR was to exist again people would want a united Germany again
True, but it would be the GDR annexing West Germany this time 😍
Stalin’s biggest mistake was stopping at Berlin
If you are really enjoying simping for a neo-liberal protofascist dictatorship, then stop calling yourself a “Marxist”
rather simp for someone opposing nato expansion than for a neonazi puppet regime staffed by people handpicked by the CIA. I swear you liberals refuse on purpose to understand that in the grand scheme of things the action of a “bad guy” can still be beneficial.
Russia isn’t conquering the world anytime soon. So what would you rather have? a more multipolar world where russia has a relatively safe and solid position after showing that it won’t be bullied into submission by nato (with the whole world watching), or a world where russia is balkanized into several statelets without the political, economic or military strength to resist capitalist infiltration?
We saw what happened last time russia got defeated. We lost a bastion of socialism, we saw tens of millions impoverished while a few capitalits dismantled everything that the USSR had built, and the whole thing ushered 40 years of hegemonic atlantist domination.
So yeah, i am rooting for the “neoliberal protofascist dictatorship”. There is a reason why literally nobody in the global south sanctioned Russia. 75% of the planet is reasoning the same way i am.
So what would you rather have? a more multipolar world where russia has a relatively safe and solid position after showing that it won’t be bullied into submission by nato (with the whole world watching), or a world where russia is balkanized into several statelets without the political, economic or military strength to resist capitalist infiltration?
The 2nd one
Honestly we should balkanize the whole world. What’s even this leftist drivel about peace and prosperity. Go back to feudalism. It worked for 1000 years. Then we should balkanize what we balkanized too, just for good measure. I mean why stop at the first balkanisation, right?
You joke, but this could be the ultimate destination of neoliberal thought, where everyone is a sovereign into themselves.
the ultimate destination of neoliberal thought, where every employer is an unregulated sovereign into themselves.
Refined it for ya, comrade
At least we came to the conclusion that your thing is that you hate russia and its people and just wish them harm
Hey, I resent that! That’s a totally inaccurate characterization.
I also hate the CCP and wish them harm.
Least brainwashed lib
Sorry, I can’t hear you over the sound of my
S U P E R I O R F I R E P O W E R
We lost a bastion of socialism
No you don’t get it, the USSR had red fascism and was secretly capitalist, the only way to build socialism is to support NATO expansion and back the US in the coming war against China for Taiwan.
Once all AES countries are bombed back to the stone age the Western left will finally rise up and demand… more social democracy!
Lol, go back to Lemmygrad
how’s it feel to get your first ratio on lemmy?
They’re from Lemmygrad, you’re from Lemmy.world, and you’re talking on Lemmy.ml.
What makes you think you have a better claim to the community this thread is in?
Do you just not understand federation?
Crazy how the creators of Lemmy made that instance along with this one.
Wait, they did??
If he’s referring to Lemmy.world he’s wrong. Lemmy.world has a different admin who’s not connected at all to Lemmy.ml admins afaik
Are lemmy.ml admins connected to lemmygrad.ml ones tho?
69 points. Nice.