China knows it would defeat the US in a conventional war. It knows it is also capable of mutually assured destruction through nuclear war. The US knows these things, too. By committing to never striking first, the only options for the US are to encourage someone else to fight China in a conventional war (who will also lose) or to start a nuclear war. But if the US does the latter, it’s fucked. Because it’ll be facing retaliation from China, Russia, and the DPRK. The latter two are unlikely to wait around to see if the US will first-strike them next. They’ll also know that their best chance is co-ordinating the annihilation of the US together.
Top US military brass will have considered this likelihood, too. Maybe it’s less than certain. It’s still massively risky. Half the US imperialists appear to be extremely reckless with human lives – but never with their own lives, and that’s what’s at stake here. Will they gamble with their own lives, with other white lives? Will the military stand by and do as it’s told with a pre-emptive, unprovoked attack? I mean, they’re all racist fucks. But are the suicidal racist fucks?
The clever bit is that China has, as usual, has outmanoeuvred the US and made itself practically impossible to attack.
PS my recollection of the 2025 thing was the US predicting that by 2025, the US would never again be able to match China for military tech. The idea being that if they didn’t defeat China by then, they never could.
It’s quite clever, really.
China knows it would defeat the US in a conventional war. It knows it is also capable of mutually assured destruction through nuclear war. The US knows these things, too. By committing to never striking first, the only options for the US are to encourage someone else to fight China in a conventional war (who will also lose) or to start a nuclear war. But if the US does the latter, it’s fucked. Because it’ll be facing retaliation from China, Russia, and the DPRK. The latter two are unlikely to wait around to see if the US will first-strike them next. They’ll also know that their best chance is co-ordinating the annihilation of the US together.
Top US military brass will have considered this likelihood, too. Maybe it’s less than certain. It’s still massively risky. Half the US imperialists appear to be extremely reckless with human lives – but never with their own lives, and that’s what’s at stake here. Will they gamble with their own lives, with other white lives? Will the military stand by and do as it’s told with a pre-emptive, unprovoked attack? I mean, they’re all racist fucks. But are the suicidal racist fucks?
The clever bit is that China has, as usual, has outmanoeuvred the US and made itself practically impossible to attack.
PS my recollection of the 2025 thing was the US predicting that by 2025, the US would never again be able to match China for military tech. The idea being that if they didn’t defeat China by then, they never could.