• Addfwyn@lemmygrad.ml
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    1 year ago

    Directly? I doubt it, the US has a miserable track record and even if there are a lot of USians that think they could beat any global power blindfolded, there has to be at least some Pentagon leadership that knows their actual capabilities.

    If they have any kind of chance to supply/fund a proxy war, terrorist insurgency, or color revolution they will leap at it though. Even if they know it wouldn’t work, the chance to bleed Chinese resources at the low low cost of billions of dollars and foreigner lives is exciting to them.

    On the opposite side, China is not going to start a war if there is any chance of ever avoiding it. China is reticient to involve themselves in foreign military affairs, they prefer to building infrastructure and engage in diplomacy.

    What I do expect to see is continued US efforts to commit economic suicide by trying to distance themselves from China economically (and only resulting in making China more and more self-sufficient) as well as an increase in domestic racisim and hate crimes. I already tell all my friends to never visit the US on holiday, because they would be treated like garbage assuming they even lived to make it back home.

    • Beat_da_Rich@lemmygrad.ml
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      1 year ago

      As sinophobic and geopolitically ignorant as the average American is, imo most Americans would probably not support a direct military engagement against China given the immense failures of US intervention in the Arab world. Proxy war? Ukraine has shown that Americans will go along with a conflict that involves another country’s soldiers fighting in place of American soldiers, but I think most would still be against a war with China using American troops.

      Plus, neoliberalism has wreaked havoc on the US’s ability to mobilize the country for a great power conflict. The government is the most unpopular it has ever been. A reorienting of the economy a la the New Deal is unlikely, and imposing a draft would likely lead to immense civil conflict.

      Anything could happen obviously. A truly visceral false flag attack could alter public support. But to me, it feels like the US is more likely to escalate the existing war against its own populace while goading other countries to fight its battles internationally.