If the polling is this wacky, why bother publishing it at all?
Over the weekend, ABC and the Washington Post published the results of a poll that made both operations look like its results were the product of a month-long exercise with a Magic 8-Ball. The way you know it was an embarrassment is the Post story about the poll began by telling us all we should probably ignore it completely.
The Post-ABC poll shows Biden trailing Trump by 10 percentage points at this early stage in the election cycle, although the sizable margin of Trump’s lead in this survey is significantly at odds with other public polls that show the general election contest a virtual dead heat. The difference between this poll and others, as well as the unusual makeup of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions in this survey, suggest it is probably an outlier.
Trump might not be 20 points ahead of Biden, but you’d better fucking turn out at the poll like he is.
pls don’t think “he won’t win anyways” and don’t vote because of it. too much is at stake.
Specifically you need to vote for Biden to avoid a Trump presidency. If you don’t give a shit about who is president, then I don’t know what to tell you. The realistic choice though is Trump or Biden and no one else is going to come close to having enough votes to get the Presidency, they’ll only play spoiler at this point and split the vote one way or the other.
Love the casual stigma around drugs that aren’t alcohol or tobacco
Get shitfaced and cause a punch-up, everyone understands. Take a few mushrooms and watch a nature documentary, everyone loses their minds.
They publish it to try and suppress voters to make them feel like there’s no chance. Then when they lose they can claim election fraud because the bogus polling had them winning. It’s a common tactic Conservatives use now to suppress votes. People need to show up no matter what the polling or news is saying.
Don’t knock mushrooms. They actually help you clear your mind and make good decisions.
Shrooms have nothing to do with mass delusions. In fact, they may help cure them.
Yeah, a really stupid headline by someone who doesn’t understand mushrooms.
Probably ate a few grams at a party one time and had a panic attack.
The more relevant drug is probably “huffing sister’s farts while engaging in incest in back woods like perfect GOP voter”
“You’d have to be on jenkem to believe THIS”
“Mmmmm! Conspiracies go better with JENKEM™! “
Yeah mushrooms don’t deserve to be brought into this
that show the general election contest a virtual dead heat.
Jfc the US is such a dumpster fire.
Here’s a writeup by FiveThirtyEight that happens to now be a part of ABC but didn’t participate in this pill: How outlier polls happen — and what to do with them
These polls also don’t sample people who use call screening (Google Voice for me) to ask unknown callers to say their name, because this breaks most robodialers.
That’s a good write-up. I generally agree with 538’s philosophy on outliers, include them in the data but weigh them less heavily.
Now let’s watch how quickly that piece of shit coward uses these polls to validate his tyrannical campaign to rule America. And remember: these are the “fake news networks.”
Honesty don’t understand how his dipshit supported can’t see how it’s always fake new when it’s negative, but when the most “untrustworthy” and hated news sources suddenly post things that are positive towards him- they magically become accurate.
You’ve got to be braindead to make any logical sense from that.
You’d have to be a fox “news” watcher.
Msuhrooms sound real good, guess that’s a plan for the weekend.
“You’d have to be on mushrooms to think Trump will become president” > an annoying lot of people pre-2016.
If the young people that actually go out to vote happen to be the ones that like Trump, Tate, Musk and the like, then yeah, he can pull 100% ahead of Biden.
Putting aside a LOT of other issues, the reason we’re seeing more polls that are very clearly nonsense is twofold:
- spam calls have proliferated to an absolutely absurd degree, to the extent that most people refuse to pick up the phone unless it’s a known contact - and even that’s not necessarily a sure bet, because caller id can be trivially spoofed.
- the mainstream media “outrage narrative”, which drives engagement/addictive consumer behavior/ad views - it behooves media networks who sell ads to present as many situations as possible as a toss-up, regardless of whether or not that’s an accurate representation, simply in the interest of profit.
Don’t insult mushrooms like this, lmao, what did they ever do to hurt you?
I just want to make it clear to everyone that being on mushrooms would not in any way make you think that. In fact, it’s pretty stupid to think that any drugs would do that. Anyone who believes in Trump probably needs some drugs
All the drugs. They need them all.
All the drugs, all at once. 😈
