The “quick attack to break the enemy’s backbone” more often than not ends up getting bogged down again after expending a ton of resources for a small gain. The way I see it, Russia’s best move would to be to stay on the defense for now maybe with some limited offensive action to strengthen the borders of what they already have taken and put defensive fortifications in more ideal places.
First of all, attacking is very expensive in equipment and lives, so there’s that. Ukraine is content to keep throwing their troops against fortified defenses, don’t interrupt your enemy when he’s making a mistake.
Furthermore, the war is declining in popularity in the USA and Europe and support is wavering a bit. A big headline-grabbing offensive could change that. Republicans want to pivot to China and a “stalemate” that’s a big waste of money looks pretty bad for Biden going into election year.
Of course if Ukraine is able to get more attacks through to more targets inside Russian borders then a big offensive will probably be demanded as a response regardless.
I don’t have the picture of the situation that the Russian MOD has so I’m just speculating, but Ukraine seems far more desperate to try move the lines of battle than Russia is.
I just thought offensives were pretty hard in the winter because of the cold and especially all the snow/ice, but rivers freezing seems like the only advantage to me
Tbh i dont blame russia for not wanting to launch huge offensives, ultimately they cost a lot of lives and they’re quite content to just slowly grind them down. Still, this does seem like an optimal time if they’re going to do one with what Soviet Snake said, especially since Europe will probably struggle with heating their homes again this year I assume
Snow flattens the terrain and makes it easier for tanks to move, as far as I know, which gives Russia quite a big advantage since they have a lot of them and Ukraine doesn’t. Moreover, it requires preparation and special equipment which Ukraine also probably lacks, and which is easier to transport for Russia.
Autumn is the rainy season in Ukraine/Russia and it’s even called Rasputitsa - Season of Bad Roads because of all the ground turning into mud. Better to attack across hard ice than soft mud.
In summer (edit: spring actually) thawing turns everything into mud. Wars there were always waged in summer and mechanized warfare with modern logistics also make winter more possible.
Late spring is when war season starts, traditionally it was around may iirc, also due to every army there being based on a lot of horses which needed to graze.
Why winter? Waiting for rivers to freeze over?
Yeah why not. Quick attack will break the enemy’s backbone. Russia shouldn’t wait for another 2 years so that West could replenish the arms.
The “quick attack to break the enemy’s backbone” more often than not ends up getting bogged down again after expending a ton of resources for a small gain. The way I see it, Russia’s best move would to be to stay on the defense for now maybe with some limited offensive action to strengthen the borders of what they already have taken and put defensive fortifications in more ideal places.
First of all, attacking is very expensive in equipment and lives, so there’s that. Ukraine is content to keep throwing their troops against fortified defenses, don’t interrupt your enemy when he’s making a mistake.
Furthermore, the war is declining in popularity in the USA and Europe and support is wavering a bit. A big headline-grabbing offensive could change that. Republicans want to pivot to China and a “stalemate” that’s a big waste of money looks pretty bad for Biden going into election year.
Of course if Ukraine is able to get more attacks through to more targets inside Russian borders then a big offensive will probably be demanded as a response regardless.
I don’t have the picture of the situation that the Russian MOD has so I’m just speculating, but Ukraine seems far more desperate to try move the lines of battle than Russia is.
I just thought offensives were pretty hard in the winter because of the cold and especially all the snow/ice, but rivers freezing seems like the only advantage to me
Russia has great experience with winter offensives , they shouldn’t miss the chance because the west won’t .
Tbh i dont blame russia for not wanting to launch huge offensives, ultimately they cost a lot of lives and they’re quite content to just slowly grind them down. Still, this does seem like an optimal time if they’re going to do one with what Soviet Snake said, especially since Europe will probably struggle with heating their homes again this year I assume
Let’s see but Russia cannot go for a long war which US and West wants.
Snow flattens the terrain and makes it easier for tanks to move, as far as I know, which gives Russia quite a big advantage since they have a lot of them and Ukraine doesn’t. Moreover, it requires preparation and special equipment which Ukraine also probably lacks, and which is easier to transport for Russia.
I actually was unaware of that, thanks for the info!
If the rivers freeze, Russian troops are safe from the kayaks with grenade launchers. I’m told they’re a game-changer!
is this a reference to some meme im unaware of lol.
It’s funny because it’s real.
Lmfao wtf??? They’ve got to be fucking with liberals to see how much ridiculous shit they’ll believe without questioning it
the next wunderwaffe is just going to be two cans and a string
Untraceable Radio Units Will Change The Face of the War in Ukraine!
I think they just try to predict next UA wunderwaffe.
ah yeah that makes sense lol
Ukraine isn’t as cold as russia
Autumn is the rainy season in Ukraine/Russia and it’s even called Rasputitsa - Season of Bad Roads because of all the ground turning into mud. Better to attack across hard ice than soft mud.
Oh for sure but i was more confused about not having waiting for spring/summer
In summer (edit: spring actually) thawing turns everything into mud. Wars there were always waged in summer and mechanized warfare with modern logistics also make winter more possible.
true, although does the mud last for the entirety of the spring? (also you typed summer instead of spring 😅 )
It’s also muddy during winter
It’s just muddy
Late spring is when war season starts, traditionally it was around may iirc, also due to every army there being based on a lot of horses which needed to graze.
hmm alright thanks for the info! I’m not super into military stuff so i more go based off of vibes/whatever random tidbits I’ve read in the past
The first book of Sienkiewicz’s trilogy suddenly makes a lot more sense.