🇲🇽 (@nocheztli:genzedong.xyz)

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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: March 26th, 2021

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  • This is really interesting, because I too always forget Apartheid SA had nukes. The question then is why didn’t they use them? What forces or situations prevented that from happening?

    Without going much into the history of said war, I think we can take Russia as a model for what to expect in regards of when can nukes be used, as russian nuclear doctrine is basically only use nukes if the state existence itself is threatened from outside. Nukes have always been a deterrent to prevent the existence of a given state from being threatened by another. During the fall of the USSR the nukes were not an option since the existential threat was from the inside. The question then is: was Apartheid SA existence as a state threatened by the defeat during the war or only its territorial conquest? The end of Apartheid came from both international and domestic pressures, no war to destroy the SA state needed, so the nukes were not an option. So, the russian model still stands: In Ukraine, the state is in an existential threat but they have no nukes and the russians have nothing to fear in regards of the position of the RF state, so no nukes needed.

    When we get to West Asia is when things get complicated and dangerous. The question is: Is there an existential threat to the state of Israel? Could a regional war between Israel and the arab countries escalate to the point where the existence of the state of Israel is threatened? In the event of a regional war we won’t be seeing a repeat of the 6-days war. The conditions have changed. The entire region may be dragged to the conflict and as many people have said in the arab-english speaking media: this may be the final battle against Israel. I’ve seen comparisons being made to Saladin or the Battle of Khaibar. Judging by this admittedly skewed vision, the arabs are seeing this conflict as existential to themselves and, even though no one really wants that, if they are forced to go to war they might be willing to go so far as to destroy Israel as a state once and for all. That is a war Israel cannot win, not with the current state of affairs, and that leads us to the nukes.

    Since they officially deny they have nukes, we don’t really know how many they can wield at any time. They can have just some tens of nuclear warheads, just enough to target strategic places without escalating further. Winning the war by nuclear means (or at least trying to, it may not even be a sure way to end it). Although the consequences of this would be another story. If they have nukes in the hundreds, they might be able to target places further out, like Pakistan, which could spark nuclear Armageddon, so it would all depend if they are willing to do so. This all boils down to if Israel has the need to use the deterrence card. I hope they don’t, that cooler heads prevail and a war is avoided, but given the latest US movements (deploying troops and aircraft carrier battle groups to the Mediterranean), it seems the tensions are only going up.

    So, to answer you questions:

    Is there a way that Iran can aid Hamas without a risk of being nuked?

    Clandestine ways I guess.

    Is the only way to engage a nuclear-armed state guerilla war waged by internal dissidents?

    Currently, most likely. Only internal pressures seem to me to be the most effective in this regard.

    I honestly believe that regardless, we are looking at the opening salvos of the Third World War. I hope I’m (and I’m most likely are) wrong about all of this.







  • Don’t get me wrong, but I don’t really think that being a communist or not depends on identity. Wether or not a majority of the people in China identify themselves as a communist is somewhat irrelevant. In most places, specially in countries where communists hold power like China or Cuba, being a communist usually implies being a member of the communist party or some communist organization. That doesn’t mean there is no people who identify as communists, just that it is usually not something being thought of as an identity category, and probably a lot of people would say “No, I’m not a communist. I’m not a member of the party”.



  • I’m never sure about what privacy actually constitutes anymore. But since you can just run your own instance of SearX, I would guess yes. You should have control of everything you look up in the internet. Though sites you enter can still log info they get from you anyways, that can only change through other methods. I tried running my own instance of SearX for a while with moderate success, but it is something that requires more knowledge and time than I have, so I just reverted to use Brave Search. It was decent enough, I guess, but I feel that something, I don’t know what, was always lacking from it. I also was never able to run it in a reliable way for some reason, probably my fault. If you don’t host your own but rather use someone else’s instance, then you just have to trust said person/org I suppose.














  • It is NOT a minor event. Niger is the main source of uranium for France, the US has military bases from which they can project to the Sahel, like the other coup governments in the region it seems they are close to Russia, the threat of a military intervention by the ECOWAS in behalf of the west has the potential to drag most of west african states into a bloody war. You may not agree with the coup, you don’t have to agree, but you should not dismiss it. It has the potential to provoke a major conflict in Africa in which Russia, France and the US may be involved just like in Syria or Ukraine.



  • The “handful of nazis” have such a high degree of political control over ukrainian politics that they were able to pass such laws of banning the russian language, glorify Bandera and other nazi criminals of the times of WW2 and launch a genocidal operation deemed as “anti-terrorist” from 2014 against the Donbass republics that rose up against the Kiev putschists. The whole of the top brass of their armed forces are nazis that never shy away of being photographed with nazi organizers and insignias. Their best trained and armed battalions and units are filled with Hitler-loving nazis like Aidar, Kraken, Azov, etc. This “handful of nazis” direct the political and ideological life of Ukraine, terrorizing a population that wants to live in peace to the point many of them rose in arms against that in 2014. If we only see the DPR and LPR today is because after the coup in Kiev other republics and anti fascist movements in places like Odessa and Kharkov were quickly destroyed with tremendous violence. Only Donetsk and Luhansk survived the criminal war launched against them in 2015 and were on the brink of inflicting a decisive defeat to the NATO backed forces of Kiev. Which was only prevented by the Minsk accords, in which Russia gladly participated lest they were involved in a war from the get go.

    Even more, if the incorporation of the Donbass into Russia is illegitimate, then the regime in Kiev is double or triple illegitimate, since even years before the fall of the Soviet Union the peoples of Crimea and the Donbass voted to separate from, first, the Ukrainian SSR and then after 1991 the Republic of Ukraine. Moreover, Zelensky himself has passed anti worker, anti democracy and anti freedom of speech laws since before even the escalation of 2022, thus completing the sell of what’s left of a once prosperous Ukraine to western corporations in what can only be called fascism. The real and most important issues of Ukraine are in both the fascist puppets in Kiev and their masters in Washington and Wall Street.