Adam Frisch, the Democrat who came close to beating Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) in last year’s midterms, raised three times more than the incumbent in second-quarter fundraising as he seeks…
The guy who lost by a razor-thin margin against an incumbent in a district projected to be safely on the R+10 - R+20 range saw the race com down to 536 votes.
That was in a midterm, where turnout is always lower. Boebert is in trouble here, I think. Polls and projections have had a hard time finding a model that works in the last few cycles, but fundraising still seems to be a great indicator of sentiment, and seeing someone consistently out-raise the other candidate by such strong margins is telling. Seeing it against an incumbant should have Boebert sweating bullets.
She’s definitely in trouble, but I’d wager that most of Frisch’s haul has come from out of the district. He certainly seems like a good candidate, but I think higher turnout in a presidential race will give boebert a good shot at it.
Yeah except that also that meant that she was doing jack shit for her constituents because it mostly didn’t matter either way. I think that was enough of a warning shot that she’ll make a meaningful effort this time and will probably improve turnout
I really liked when Jared Polis (current CO governor) was my congressman because we aligned reasonably well politically and since he didn’t need to do fundraising (.com millionaire) he actually directly responded to constituents. Like you could tag him on reddit and he’d reply.
From what I can tell boebert does jack shit for her district (and i do spend a little time there)
And it was supposed to be a safe Republican seat.
That’s the real story here.
The guy who lost by a razor-thin margin against an incumbent in a district projected to be safely on the R+10 - R+20 range saw the race com down to 536 votes.
That was in a midterm, where turnout is always lower. Boebert is in trouble here, I think. Polls and projections have had a hard time finding a model that works in the last few cycles, but fundraising still seems to be a great indicator of sentiment, and seeing someone consistently out-raise the other candidate by such strong margins is telling. Seeing it against an incumbant should have Boebert sweating bullets.
She’s definitely in trouble, but I’d wager that most of Frisch’s haul has come from out of the district. He certainly seems like a good candidate, but I think higher turnout in a presidential race will give boebert a good shot at it.
Yeah except that also that meant that she was doing jack shit for her constituents because it mostly didn’t matter either way. I think that was enough of a warning shot that she’ll make a meaningful effort this time and will probably improve turnout
Eh I’m always skeptical how much a congressman actually does specifically for their district, vs the broader “own the libs”.
I really liked when Jared Polis (current CO governor) was my congressman because we aligned reasonably well politically and since he didn’t need to do fundraising (.com millionaire) he actually directly responded to constituents. Like you could tag him on reddit and he’d reply.
From what I can tell boebert does jack shit for her district (and i do spend a little time there)
Outreach I agree with, but actually doing something specifically for the district I’m less sure about.